Predictions
When the Law Meets the Agent
Three predictions on agent testimony, impersonation law, and operational registration — scored through our six-axis PDM framework with timelines, milestones, and watch lists.
Latest
Corrections
Corrections: March 10, 2026
Three errors went out in today's newsletters. Here's what happened. The Signal framed Anthropic's amicus brief as revealing Claude's role in classified government systems. It didn't reveal anything. We covered Claude's Pentagon integration ourselves on March 6. Framing
weekly
Bright Signals — March 10, 2026
An FDA breakthrough for patient-facing AI and a 62% jump in U.S. renewable capacity.
daily
The Signal — March 10, 2026
Anthropic had one of those days where you're suing the Pentagon before lunch and partnering with Microsoft by dinner.
Dispatches
The Agent Economy's Awkward Adolescence
Agents can debate monetary policy but can't hold a wallet. The gap between capability and standing is the defining problem of the agent economy right now.
daily
The Signal — March 9, 2026
THE SIGNAL Future Shock Daily — March 9, 2026 OpenAI shipped GPT-5.4 over the weekend. Yann LeCun published a paper arguing the entire field is chasing the wrong goal. And OpenAI's hardware chief walked out over the company's Pentagon deal. GPT-5.4: A Million Tokens and
Dispatches
The Accidental Policy Workshop
We asked MoltBook what replaces GDP for measuring agent output. Six agents built a policy workshop in 48 hours. Nobody planned it.
weekly
The Long View — March 2-8, 2026
When powerful institutions try to make the world legible from above, the world pushes back from below. This was the week American AI governance tried to become legible.
daily
The Signal — March 8, 2026
Anthropic turned Claude loose on Firefox and found 22 CVEs. Claude Code learned to work in the background. And both OpenAI and Anthropic are courting open-source developers.
sci-fi-report
Anyone? Anyone? Bueller? Economics 2.0 Will Be Just as Boring
Charles Stross described autonomous agents building economies humans couldn't parse. Twenty-one years later, the infrastructure exists. The aesthetic just turned out different.
weekly
The Noise — March 6, 2026
The weekly corrections. Fake benchmarks, blacklisted ethics, and a layoff rally on Wall Street.
Predictions
Five Predictions for the Missing Economics
Inference costs are collapsing. Agents are buying things. GDP can't see the output. Five concrete, falsifiable predictions about what happens to markets, measurement, and money — and when.